VonWeeden

I specialize in identifying high-value betting opportunities by analyzing expected value against sportsbook odds. My approach combines in-depth fighter research, statistical analysis, and market trends using a win probability calculator and a Fight Simulator to uncover bets with a positive edge.

Joined Feb 13, 2024Bets are logged before the event starts and can't be edited or deleted

Profit: +0.54u
ROI: +4.5%
Record: 3-8-0
Pending: 0

Bet History

UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos

Sep 26, 2026

	Bet	Sportsbook							Bet Result
Singles 6
Raul Rosas Jr.vs Raoni Barcelos	Raoni Barcelos	DraftKings	1u	+150		+5.5%	-1u	-100%	Loss
Ilimbek Akylbek Uuluvs Mehemmedeli Osmanli	Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu	DraftKings	1u	+240		-1.6%	+2.4u	+240%	Win
Elves Brennervs Josiah Harrell	Elves Brenner	BetMGM	2.5u	+137		+6.6%	+3.43u	+137%	Win
Elves Brennervs Josiah Harrell	Elves Brenner	DraftKings	1.5u	+114		+2.8%	+1.71u	+114%	Win
Yasmine Jaureguivs Vanessa Demopoulos	Vanessa Demopoulos	DraftKings	0.5u	+675		+1.4%	-0.5u	-100%	Loss
Yasmine Jaureguivs Vanessa Demopoulos	Vanessa Demopoulos	DraftKings	1u	+575		-0.5%	-1u	-100%	Loss
Parlays 5
5-Leg Parlay		DraftKings	0.5u	+588	578	+0.2%	-0.5u	-100%	Loss
Leg 1:JacksonvsSimon	Montel Jackson			-225					Win
Leg 2:BrennervsHarrell	Brenner +3.5			-175					Win
Leg 3:NakamuravsHiestand	Rinya Nakamura			-380					Loss
Leg 4:DumasvsHernandez	Luis Hernandez			-238					Win
Leg 5:Rosas Jr.vsBarcelos	Barcelos +5.5			-145					Loss
3-Leg Parlay		DraftKings	0.5u	+1098	975	+1.0%	-0.5u	-100%	Loss
Leg 1:BrennervsHarrell	Elves Brenner			+114					Win
Leg 2:VieiravsBryczek	Robert Bryczek			+124					Loss
Leg 3:Rosas Jr.vsBarcelos	Raoni Barcelos			+150					Loss
5-Leg Parlay		DraftKings	0.5u	+1742	1312	+1.7%	-0.5u	-100%	Loss
Leg 1:BellatovsEdwards	Over 1.5 rounds			-125					Win
Leg 2:JacksonvsSimon	Over 2.5 rounds			-188					Loss
Leg 3:BrennervsHarrell	Under 2.5 rounds			+105					Win
Leg 4:JaureguivsDemopoulos	Under 2.5 rounds			+175					Win
Leg 5:DumontvsPerez	Over 2.5 rounds			-540					Win
3-Leg Parlay		DraftKings	1.5u	+303	239	+4.7%	-1.5u	-100%	Loss
Leg 1:BellatovsEdwards	Rodolfo Bellato			-175					Loss
Leg 2:JacksonvsSimon	Montel Jackson			-198					Win
Leg 3:DumontvsPerez	Ailin Perez			-142					Win
2-Leg Parlay		DraftKings	1.5u	+139	113	+5.1%	-1.5u	-100%	Loss
Leg 1:BellatovsEdwards	Rodolfo Bellato			-175					Loss
Leg 2:JacksonvsSimon	Montel Jackson			-192					Win
			12u	+524	-	+2.4%	+0.54u	+4.5%	3W-8L-0P 11 bets

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